A Coronavirus Relief Deal Remains Elusive

By Giovanni Russonello

Pelosi pushes (yet again) for a deal, while Biden’s team issues a warning: It ain’t over till it’s over. It’s Monday, and this is your politics tip sheet. Sign up here to get On Politics in your inbox every weekday.

Where things stand

Ultimatum, or ultimaybe? With coronavirus relief held up by partisan bickering and Republican infighting, Speaker Nancy Pelosi tried once again yesterday to set a firm deadline for a deal.

On ABC’s “This Week,” Pelosi told George Stephanopoulos that she expected to receive an offer from the White House within 48 hours. If she didn’t, she said, it would become impossible for assistance to reach Americans before Election Day.

“I’m optimistic because, again, we’ve been back and forth on all of this,” Pelosi said. Asked whether Americans would receive relief by the election, she said, “That depends on the administration.”

Of course, we’ve heard talk of hard deadlines before. At the end of last month, Pelosi threatened to give up on negotiations and pass a Democratic bill in the House without Republican buy-in, if the White House didn’t meet an urgent deadline. She eventually walked back that threat and carried on with negotiations.

Days later, President Trump, while hospitalized for the coronavirus, announced that he was giving up on talks — only to trudge back to the table as well.

The last time Congress approved a stimulus bill was in the spring. Since then, workers and executives in a range of industries — including air travel, retail and real estate — have increasingly felt the effects of a stagnated economy. The Paycheck Protection Program lost its lending authority in August, and over $100 billion in loan money is lying fallow.

A wide majority of voters have said in polls that they want Congress to pass another round of legislation.

But the political calculus is complex: While the White House has shown a willingness to make major concessions to Pelosi, Senate Republicans remain reluctant to pass another large bill — maybe, observers say, because they are waiting to see who wins the presidential election.

Mitch McConnell, the Senate majority leader, said over the weekend that he planned to hold a vote this week on a $500 billion bill, far short of what Democrats have demanded.

Joe Biden’s lead in national polls may firmly be in the double digits, thanks in large part to voters who didn’t back Hillary Clinton four years ago but now find themselves dismayed by the president. And the Biden campaign may be outspending Trump’s on TV ads by nearly two to one.

But Democrats are not feeling reassured. That will happen, they say, if and when Biden reaches 270 electoral votes — not a moment before.

In some swing states, Biden’s polling lead is not much better than Clinton’s was in 2016, and we know how that worked out. Speaking at a drive-in rally yesterday in North Carolina, Biden urged voters to “keep the incredible momentum going,” adding, “We can’t let up.”

On Twitter late last week, Biden’s campaign manager, Jennifer O’Malley Dillon, wrote that “there is still a long way to go in this campaign, and we think this race is far closer than folks on this website think. Like a lot closer.”

This month, F.B.I. agents arrested a group of men in Michigan on domestic terrorism charges, saying that they had plotted to kidnap the state’s Democratic governor, Gretchen Whitmer.

At the time, a rattled Whitmer said the plot was evidence that Trump’s divisive language had real-world consequences. But the president has not exactly been chastened by those events, or by Whitmer’s criticism.

At a rally on Saturday in Muskegon, Mich., the president denounced Whitmer for keeping in place coronavirus shutdown measures, and then looked on as the crowd began to chant “Lock her up.” Stoking their fury, he said, “Lock them all up.”

Speaking to Chuck Todd on NBC’s “Meet the Press” yesterday, Whitmer called out Trump for those statements. “It’s incredibly disturbing,” she said, “that the president of the United States — 10 days after a plot to kidnap, put me on trial and execute me, 10 days after that was uncovered — the president is at it again and inspiring and incentivizing and inciting this kind of domestic terrorism. It is wrong. It’s got to end.”

Photo of the day

Demonstrators both in favor of and opposed to abortion rights protested on Saturday outside the Supreme Court.

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