{"id":26608,"date":"2023-10-19T21:09:03","date_gmt":"2023-10-19T21:09:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/belalcazar.org\/?p=26608"},"modified":"2023-10-19T21:09:03","modified_gmt":"2023-10-19T21:09:03","slug":"sunak-dealt-devastating-poll-blow-with-tories-facing-crushing-election-defeat","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/belalcazar.org\/politics\/sunak-dealt-devastating-poll-blow-with-tories-facing-crushing-election-defeat\/","title":{"rendered":"Sunak dealt devastating poll blow with Tories facing crushing election defeat"},"content":{"rendered":"

Tamworth: Aerial views show rooftops in Staffordshire town<\/h3>\n

A new poll has suggested that ultra-safe Conservative seats are now likely to fall with the party trying to manage expectations over two crunch by-elections on Thursday night.<\/p>\n

Both Mid Bedfordshire, previously held by Nadine Dorries, and Tamworth in Staffordshire were very safe Conservative seats before their MPs quit but now appear to be on the brink of falling to Labour giving Rishi Sunak a major headache.<\/p>\n

According to the Techne UK weekly tracker poll for Express.co.uk, Tamworth, where the Tories had two-thirds of the popular vote in 2019, will not just fall in a by-election protest vote but would be a Labour seat in a general election.<\/p>\n

Mid Bedfordshire, where the Conservatives are hopeful of clinging on tonight, would only remain Tory because of a split opposition vote between Labour and the Lib Dems – a scenario which could play out when counting starts after 10pm.<\/p>\n

Based on those who have declared how they will vote, the poll puts Labour 19 points ahead on 45 percent (down one) to the Conservatives’ 26 percent (unchanged).<\/p>\n

READ MORE: <\/strong> Sunak’s Tories heading for ‘perpetual vortex of agitation’ with Tamworth defeat<\/strong><\/p>\n

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The Lib Dems are up one on 11 percent and both Greens and Reform UK are unchanged at six percent.<\/p>\n

According to Electoral Calculus, Labour would have a majority of 220 from the poll while the Tories would have an all-time low of 130.<\/p>\n

But when those who will not vote or have not made up their minds are included in the total of 1,634 interviewed by Techne UK today and yesterday, the figures are catastrophic for the Tories.<\/p>\n

Techne UK chief executive Michela Morizzo said that “non-voters” now are so big on 35 percent (25 percent would not vote, 10 percent uncertain) that “they should be considered as their own party”.<\/p>\n

In comparison to the total of those asked they make up more than double those who would vote Tory at 17 percent and are even more than Labour at 29 percent.<\/p>\n

The poll also confirms again that more than half the Conservative vote from 2019 has abandoned them with only 48 percent saying they would vote for the party again.<\/p>\n

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