{"id":26630,"date":"2023-10-22T21:21:38","date_gmt":"2023-10-22T21:21:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/belalcazar.org\/?p=26630"},"modified":"2023-10-22T21:21:38","modified_gmt":"2023-10-22T21:21:38","slug":"rwanda-plan-under-threat-as-ministers-are-convinced-court-with-axe-it","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/belalcazar.org\/politics\/rwanda-plan-under-threat-as-ministers-are-convinced-court-with-axe-it\/","title":{"rendered":"Rwanda plan under threat as ministers are convinced court with axe it"},"content":{"rendered":"

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Ministers are increasingly concerned Supreme Court judges will thwart the Government\u2019s bid to end the Channel migrant crisis.<\/p>\n

Multiple Whitehall sources believe the Home Office only has a 40% chance of winning the landmark legal battle. And insiders revealed a defeat in the Supreme Court will fire the starting gun on a campaign to leave the ECHR.<\/p>\n

Immigration minister Robert Jenrick admitted \u201cmuch\u201d of the Government\u2019s bid to end small boat crossings \u201cwill depend on the Supreme Court\u2019s judgement\u201d.<\/p>\n

He said: “We have seen a substantial reduction in the number of small boat crossings this year versus last year. I don’t pretend that that is enough, but it does show that the plan that we put in place a year ago is beginning to work.”<\/p>\n

Addressing criticism that the Government has only reduced crossings, rather than stopping them, Mr Jenrick said: “I’m not pretending that we have succeeded, this is job done, I’m saying that our plan is beginning to work.”<\/p>\n

He added: “We’re around a quarter reduction now in small boats versus last year. And if you compare that to Italy and much of Europe, small boat arrivals are up by 100.<\/p>\n

\u201cWe are delivering. There’s clearly a long way to go, and much will depend on the Supreme Court’s judgement with respect to our Rwanda policy… but we are making progress.”<\/p>\n

Supreme Court judges are ruling on an earlier decision by the Court of Appeal which stated there was a risk migrants could be forced back to the country they had originally fled from.<\/p>\n

This would be in breach of the ban on putting people at risk of torture in the European Convention on Human Rights (ECHR).<\/p>\n

A Tory source said: \u201cThere is growing pessimism about the Supreme Court. It’s finely balanced but probably 60\/40 against a win.<\/p>\n

\u201cIf we lose, it’s got to be election campaign mode on getting us out of Strasbourg \u2013 put the old Vote Leave gang back together and run it relentlessly. We would run day after day of stories to put Labour on the back foot.\u201d<\/p>\n

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Government sources suggested a 60 per cent chance of defeat was “right”. One said: \u201cWe\u2019ve done well this year – today small boat arrivals are down 32 per cent on 2022 (a third) versus a 100 per cent increase in Italy. That\u2019s been hard won and is a good start. But Rwanda is critical to going further and eliminating the crossings.\u201d<\/p>\n

Home Secretary Suella Braverman has warned a \u201churricane\u201d of mass migration is threatening the UK.<\/p>\n

Former immigration minister Kevin Foster told the Daily Express: “The migration deal with Rwanda provides a practical and humane option for breaking the business model of people trafficking gangs.<\/p>\n

\u201cThe Supreme Court should look at the reality of what blocking this would mean, more people being trafficked in boats to the UK, and how this deal does safeguard the rights of those being transferred.<\/p>\n

\u201cThe court should also note how in the UNHCR’s submissions, they stand in contrast to its own actions in resettling refugees to Rwanda.”<\/p>\n

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